A6, Turnplay

[Trix]

I openraise on the button in a 5 or 6 handed game.
I´ve been running good and getting good cards, so they probably think I raise too often and bet too often, though I´ve shows down some winners.

BB who is like 50/10, but pretty lag calls. He can semibluff CR the turn multiway and stuff like that. Overplays too. He can slowplay too, so he isn´t easy to read.

Flop T92r, He check-calls.
Turn 8, same suit as the deuce.

I´d like to know how often I´m ahead here.(Just estimate some %)
If I should check or bet and what to do if he check-raises and if there are any rivers you dont call if you check it through.

[BottlesOf]

I think you are ahead about 50% ? I'm really struggling with how to play the turn. On one hand, I don't want to be CR, on the other, the board is drawy and we're vulnerable to a number of cards.

[cartman]

I would check and call anything but a J.

Cartman

[spydog]

[ QUOTE ]
I think you are ahead about 50% ? I'm really struggling with how to play the turn. On one hand, I don't want to be CR, on the other, the board is drawy and we're vulnerable to a number of cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

It sucks to give a free card on this board, but LAGs will often late-pay for that free card on the river when they miss, so checking and calling any non-J, non-Q river is the play I will nearly always make here.

[Trix]

I was actually wondering if the turn put it below 20, meaning that I should fold on a riverblank. I guess it probably didn´t since you think it´s around 50.

Still not sure whether its a bet or check though.
In the hand I checked, but dont know really..

[Surfbullet]

Hey Trix,

I think we are ahead here quite often, perhaps 40%+? I'm not sure if he's the type of tricky lag to call down a mediocre pair every so often to keep your bets honest, so that could make it more or less likely.

I'd check the turn, and call most rivers, except a J, Q, and possibly a K. If he was LAGier preflop i'd definitely call a K, but it doesn't look like he'll be 3betting stuff like KJ from his stats.

Also, I think checking the turn is definitely better - inducing bluffs is more effective in small pots, because the cost of the free card is much much cheaper. When the pot gets to be 5-6Bb+ we have to be inducing a bluff a very high %-age of the time to make it worthwhile.

Surf

[TStoneMBD]

uggh, i hate these situations. i would check the turn and maybe call a river bet depending on what hits. if the board pairs i call if it doesnt i would usually fold. i probably fold ace high alot more often than advised on these forums. i have a positive winrate with taking ace high to the showdown when many people have a negative one. this either means im very good at knowing when to take ace high to the showdown or i fold way too much and only take it to showdown when its obviously profitable. which one it is i dont know.

hopefully its that i fold too much because that way i have a leak i can fix.

[LoaferGee12]

How do you view this stat? I have a feeling this is a big problem for me as well. (Fold too much)