Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Tournament Poker > Multi-table Tournaments
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 11-17-2005, 12:08 AM
PoBoy321 PoBoy321 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 396
Default Sometimes I just don\'t know what I\'m thinking

Later stages of the UB 5+R 10,000 guaranteed. Top 70 spots pay, I'm have about an average chip stack with ~T20,000 with blinds at T300/600 with a 50 ante. About 160 left, I'm somewhere in the middle of the pack. My image at this table has been incredibly tight (I've only been playing about 9% of hands) so I decide that I'm going to do something loose, aggressive, possibly reckless and probably stupid.

I open limp QTs in EP (which I know was a mistake, I should have either mucked or raised). It folds to an aggressive player on the button who has me covered and makes it 1200 (it's a steal attempt 90% of the time). I limp re-raise to 3600, he calls. Flop comes T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] x [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. I bet 3/4 pot and he instantly pushes.

I'm now 90% confident that he is on some kind of draw. I'm sure he doesn't have an overpair or a set because he would push just about any PP pre-flop. He could have T9, but I'd say it's a remote chance. I think his most likely hand range is something like Ax [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Kx [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] or possibly Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Jx.

Now I don't mean for this to be an "I think I'm ahead, should I call" thread, but I do have a couple of questions.

Given my read, I am ahead, but only very slightly, with at best 55% equity. I'm in a situation where the stacks are deep and I could easily coast for a while and not have to worry about putting myself in these marginal situations. I am, however, only sitting on an average sized stack and if I want to be able to bully people, I am going to need a big stack.

So my question is, is this a situation where I have to take the effective coin flip?

EDIT: Sorry, the blinds were too low
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:10 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.