#1
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11s - TT laydown short-stacked
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (5 handed) converter
Hero (t733) UTG (t1145) MP (t1160) Button (t1960) SB (t3002) Preflop: Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. 1 fold, CO pushes, and everyone else folds to me. I fold. With a big stack in the SB, and > 10bb, I figured I was behind here. And, I'm not that desperate yet. Thoughts? |
#2
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Re: 11s - TT laydown short-stacked
There's no way in hell I'm folding TT here.
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#3
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Re: 11s - TT laydown short-stacked
[ QUOTE ]
There's no way in hell I'm folding TT here. [/ QUOTE ] |
#4
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Re: 11s - TT laydown short-stacked
If you fold this you have about half the stack of everyone else. This will make it somewhat difficult to steal. When I am stortstacked like this I am looking to gamble, not avoiding it. I think it is far more likely you are ahead here.
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#5
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Re: 11s - TT laydown short-stacked
What hand range can we put villain on? I don't think he's pushing in this spot with junk like KJ, or A8. I ran it through Eastbay's program, and it says a call is neutral EV if villain pushes with 99+,AJ+. I know ICM doesn't tell the whole story, but I don't see how this is an instacall yet. How about future folding equity? With 6BB I still should be able to steal whenever the big stack folds (he hasn't been pushing around the table). A call just didn't seem obvious to me.
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#6
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Re: 11s - TT laydown short-stacked
If that guy's pushing 99+, AJ+, he's the tightest player EVAR.
If it's neutral EV for him to have 99+, AJ+ here, then I autocall 100% of the time. There's no way you can't have someone push 88 here. There's no way you can't have a range that includes 77 or 66. AT is an easy push there. This is an autocall. Thinking about folding this is costing you money. If I haven't made it clear, this is a terrible laydown unless you have some kind of insane read. |
#7
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Re: 11s - TT laydown short-stacked
Seems like you are overestimating your stealing ability and underestimating your opponents aggressiveness (imo). I think your range is too tight.
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