#1
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Turned set on a scary board ($109)
I haven't posted hands in a while so I figured I would post a 2nd tonight:
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (8 handed) converter CO (t1640) Hero (t810) SB (t690) BB (t890) UTG (t930) UTG+1 (t710) MP1 (t3235) MP2 (t1095) Preflop: Hero is Button with 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls t30, CO calls t30, Hero calls t30, SB completes, BB checks. Flop: (t150) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> SB checks, BB folds, MP2 checks, CO checks, Hero checks. Turn: (t150) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets t80</font>, MP2 calls t80, CO calls t80, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t250</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t660 (All-In)</font>, MP2 folds, CO folds, Hero calls t410. no reads |
#2
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
he can do this with any 9, any 2 pair, pair/gutshot, this has to be an instacall.
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#3
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
can't fold IMHO. If someone else calls, I consider folding.
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#4
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
You are not Tommy Reed. Don't try to be.
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#5
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
I was at least as interested in the turn raise. I considered just calling the lead out
[ QUOTE ] can't fold IMHO. If someone else calls, I consider folding. [/ QUOTE ] if someone else calls I've got great odds to river a boat |
#6
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
[ QUOTE ]
I was at least as interested in the turn raise. I considered just calling the lead out [ QUOTE ] can't fold IMHO. If someone else calls, I consider folding. [/ QUOTE ] if someone else calls I've got great odds to river a boat [/ QUOTE ] Right. Oops. Unqualified call then. |
#7
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
I think you are way ahead a decent amount of the time (55%), way behind a small amount (30%) and hoping for your boat the rest of the time (15%). Sooooo, call. (EDIT: See that I retracted this statement 2 posts down. I am often very dumb.)
How did I come up with these numbers? Magic. |
#8
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
30% villian has a set over him? that number has to be like 5% tops, straight much much more likely.
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#9
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
[ QUOTE ]
30% villian has a set over him? that number has to be like 5% tops, straight much much more likely. [/ QUOTE ] You are entirely right. I looked at the limpers, and figured 'it's likely that a limper had a pocket pair and checked the flop' without bothering to see that the action is coming from the sb. I withdraw my statements. Still a call though. |
#10
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Re: Turned set on a scary board ($109)
Do you mean call the turn for 80 chips, or call the allin? |
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