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View Poll Results: How many players in the WSOP main event?
<3000 6 4.88%
3000-3999 7 5.69%
4000-4999 3 2.44%
5000-5999 18 14.63%
6000-6599 6 4.88%
6600 CAP 33 26.83%
slightly over cap 6601-6999 28 22.76%
7000+ 22 17.89%
Voters: 123. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1  
Old 06-30-2005, 01:03 PM
Publos Nemesis Publos Nemesis is offline
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Default When will the poker fad / bubble end?

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  #2  
Old 06-30-2005, 01:10 PM
Ghazban Ghazban is offline
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Location: Boston, MA
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Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

Why is there no choice between 5 years and never?
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  #3  
Old 06-30-2005, 01:20 PM
USGrant USGrant is offline
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Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

I hear a lot about burst bubbles and tighter/smarter players on Party and the like, but when I started playing online during the spring of last year Party averaged about 30K players during its peak hours. It's now double that, so the pond is still stocked.

When it comes to "bubble" theories, I don't think the wisdom of long-time pro's or personal anecdotes from 2+2ers who say that the SNG's and micro cash games are getting tougher to beat is really the best information. I think the only way to measure the thinness of the bubble skin is to look at the # of players on Party and the other big sites (Party may not always be the biggest, but it still has the biggest marketing budget, so unless it makes a big business mistake it will remain the McDonald's of online sites) If these big sites are still at 60K and growing, than the tables are good to go. If they retreat back to their late '03/early '04 levels, then maybe the fish have all been scared off. Maybe in a year or two this will happen, but who knows, maybe not.
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  #4  
Old 06-30-2005, 01:32 PM
Guthrie Guthrie is offline
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Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

Next Wednesday at 3 p.m. Eastern.
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  #5  
Old 06-30-2005, 02:17 PM
CrazyN8 CrazyN8 is offline
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Location: Sweet Home Alabama
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Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

[ QUOTE ]
Next Wednesday at 3 p.m. Eastern.

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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  #6  
Old 06-30-2005, 10:21 PM
Jordan Olsommer Jordan Olsommer is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 792
Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

[ QUOTE ]
It's now double that, so the pond is still stocked.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hell, 2+2 is stocked - as of this writing, nearly one fifth of the poll's respondants said the bubble was never going to burst. Even if half of them were being facetious, that still leaves 9% who truly think it's never going to end!

Having the bubble burst doesn't mean that things go back to the scenario immediately before the hype started - if it did, the dot-com crash would have landed us all right back on 28.8 modems and being breathlessly enthralled with even the most pedestrian use of javascript. It simply means that the bubble or fad will die down, as all bubbles and fads do, and you won't see incredibly bad TV show ideas greenlighted simply because they involve poker in some capacity - you'll go back to seeing incredibly bad TV show ideas greenlighted for other reasons.

It seems to me pretty similar to the "chess fever" the nation experienced when Bobby Fischer had his historic championship match against Spassky; for a while, people couldn't get enough of chess - taking their kids to chess classes and tournaments, etc. And then the popularity of the game retreated - to a level higher than it was prior to the fad, of course, but nowhere near where it was at its peak.

So in short, the fact that people see a fad and honestly think "this will never end" worries me slightly.
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  #7  
Old 06-30-2005, 10:39 PM
SoftcoreRevolt SoftcoreRevolt is offline
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Posts: 902
Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

I'd say we have 2 good years left, then we need to reevaluate on the turn.
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  #8  
Old 06-30-2005, 11:07 PM
Freudian Freudian is offline
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Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

In 5... 4... 3... 2... 1...
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  #9  
Old 06-30-2005, 11:49 PM
augie00 augie00 is offline
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Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

Wow, this isn't the most worn out 2+2 topic ever.
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  #10  
Old 07-01-2005, 12:58 AM
ZBTHorton ZBTHorton is offline
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Default Re: When will the poker fad / bubble end?

We have until all the fish go broke, obviously.
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