Raise the river?

toss · #1 08-15-2005, 02:25 PM

Villain is a 21/2.9/1.4 after 70 hands.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (8 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
4 folds, CO calls, Hero raises, 1 fold, BB calls, CO calls.

Flop: (6.40 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB bets, CO calls, Hero raises, BB 3-bets, CO folds, Hero calls.

Turn: (6.70 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises, BB calls.

River: (10.70 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets...

shant · #2 08-15-2005, 02:29 PM

As Ice Cube would say, "Yey-yeah."

brettbrettr · #3 08-15-2005, 02:29 PM

Yes.

chief444 · #4 08-15-2005, 02:40 PM

I don't think so. He likely has two pair on the flop. I don't see him playing Ax this way...he's got fairly passive numbers. I don't see him having QT the way it played out. I think you should call. I think he has AK/KJ pretty often here.

toss · #5 08-15-2005, 02:47 PM

What range of hands do you put villain on the river?

TakeMeToTheRiver · #6 08-15-2005, 02:48 PM

Definitely raise the river. The only hand that beats you is KJ and there is only one J left.

J. Sawyer · #7 08-15-2005, 02:50 PM

I raise that river, I tink he plays AJ and maybe some other Aces that way if hes aggro.

And he will call a raise w/ AJ, AQ...

chief444 · #8 08-15-2005, 02:54 PM

AK?

toss · #9 08-15-2005, 02:55 PM

Why would villain lead the river with AQ, AJ for? His stats (although over a small sample) imply he's not that aggressive postflop.

shant · #10 08-15-2005, 02:55 PM

[ QUOTE ]
What range of hands do you put villain on the river?

[/ QUOTE ]
Ew this guy has a PFR of 2.9? Missed that the first time around. 2.9 would include AK in his PFR range though, right? He would definitely raise AA or KK.

So KJ is yucky, but unlikely since 3 J's are out. Could he have QT and play like ass? or KQ? AQ? Kx[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]?

I guess the only thing I'd be worried about was AK played like a "drawing hand" preflop. Now I'm not as sure I want to raise, but you're only behind 6 combos of AK and 2 combos of KJ.