Why favorites are on a roll in NFL '05

111-76, incredible. It would've even been hard for dogs to go 111-76 in most stretches over the last 15 years.

[jedinite]

Its an interesting question. Has there been an evolution of parity in the NFL in the last two years, culminating in a peak this year, which has served to change some of the fundamental assumptions we follow? Does it warrant an evolution in handicapping methodologies?

I've been pleased as hell my system is running in the green this year, albeit barely. Game of the Week running strong as usual. I haven't yet made any adjustments to the system, but it has been something I've been contemplating (making a tweak to my methodology, and running both systems side-by-side for the rest of the year to compare results). I've been looking at an algorythm for the Colts alone... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[tech]

The great thing about free markets is that they adjust.

[TheRover]

I guess it's mildly comforting I'm not the only one getting reamed here...

[CCx]

[ QUOTE ]
you're just way, way overdue on being a square

join the party

[/ QUOTE ]

there's still time [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

always fun to watch the stat rats scratch their heads

[DougOzzzz]

[ QUOTE ]
I've been looking at an algorythm for the Colts alone... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Here is an algorithm:

If (team==Colts and spread>-100) {
PickColts = true
}

[jedinite]

Have you been spying on me? That's almost identical to what i've got...

[20Five]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I've been looking at an algorythm for the Colts alone... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Here is an algorithm:

If (team==Colts and spread>-100) {
PickColts = true
}

[/ QUOTE ]

lol, Colts_wins++;

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you're just way, way overdue on being a square

join the party

[/ QUOTE ]

there's still time [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]


always fun to watch the stat rats scratch their heads

[/ QUOTE ]

I do pick faves but at nowhere near the clip I do dogs. My system adapts but this correction is really phenomenal. I applaud anyone with a shred of analytic know-how who's doing well this year.

[peter t 9]

hey scott i cant get on your web page whats up?