Something I heard about pocket aces

"spaceman"Bryce · #1 04-10-2005, 11:31 PM

I actually think this is true, but i heard it from a drunk guy and havent learned poker odds so I dont really know.If you go all in 4 times woth pocket aces against various junk, arent the odds against you winning all 4 hands? thats interesting..

tylerdurden · #2 04-10-2005, 11:38 PM

How many opponents?

"spaceman"Bryce · #3 04-10-2005, 11:40 PM

um 6

MelchyBeau · #4 04-10-2005, 11:43 PM

depending on how many players yes. HOWEVER, you have proper odds to go/call all in with AA preflop. Most people show an 80%-90% win avg with AA in limit. I am not sure what this stat is in NL.

Melch

"spaceman"Bryce · #5 04-10-2005, 11:45 PM

oh i know the odds are good preflop.But the odds should change if you try to win 4 in a row with it.....

EvilivE · #6 04-10-2005, 11:57 PM

I think what your "friend" is refering to is in heads up AA vs other pocket pair or suited/unsuited connectors. The other pocket pair or suited/unsuited connectors is approx a 4:1 dog. Which means the AA will hold up 4 out of 5 times.

Perhaps your "friend" misunderstood what 4:1 actually means.

"spaceman"Bryce · #7 04-11-2005, 12:04 AM

I dont think you get the question.The odds of you winning an all in- hand with AA are generally 82% but the odds of winning four times in a row with odds of 82 percent is probably below 50 isnt it?

EvilivE · #8 04-11-2005, 12:23 AM

Ahhh, ok. Yes you're right.

0.8 * 0.8 * 0.8 * 0.8 = 0.4096 approx. 41%

niin · #9 04-11-2005, 12:53 AM

If you got aces 4 times in a row, and after winning all 4, you said "Wow, they held up 4 times, what is the chance of that" then yes, you have about a 42% chance of that happening.

However,

Lets say you got aces 3 times in a row, and won all three. Then lets say that you get aces again on the 4th hand. Your chances are still 82% to win that hand.

"spaceman"Bryce · #10 04-11-2005, 12:58 AM

[ QUOTE ]
If you got aces 4 times in a row, and after winning all 4, you said "Wow, they held up 4 times, what is the chance of that" then yes, you have about a 42% chance of that happening.

However,

Lets say you got aces 3 times in a row, and won all three. Then lets say that you get aces again on the 4th hand. Your chances are still 82% to win that hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

good point