jfk ass conpiracy probility? using bayes theorum (plus a poll)
ok. so guy is arrested.
they r pretty sure he is shooter.
he protests. before he can talk (other than to say he is a patsy), he is killed.
he is killed by a known gangster/cia (was he cia? not sure) anywayh someone with ties.
then the gangster at first says something dumb (i did it cause i loved president, wanted to soothe widow or something.) , and then after a while in prison hints theres a conspiracy.
ok, so given this parlay of events alone, what is the probability you would estimate that there was something going on here? eg, conspiracy.
|