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#11
10-10-2005, 05:55 AM
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Re: who needs a free card?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] The flop bet is more likely to be a made hand than a draw. [/ QUOTE ] Since when? [/ QUOTE ] Do you think that >50% of the time, the flop bet is a draw? [/ QUOTE ] I think its close...but its been shifting. i think it used to be that people always donked with draws and CRed with pairs, but then everyone realized that and have begun to do the opposite. I still think this is very often a draw though. 
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#12
10-10-2005, 06:03 AM
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Re: who needs a free card?
Villain cold-called in SB. I believe this is a crucial element in evaluating this hand. Compared to an unknown who called in the BB, an SB cold-caller is much more likely to have a hand that paired this flop than a pure draw.
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#13
10-10-2005, 08:41 AM
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Re: who needs a free card?
Standard for me is raise the flop, bet the turn, and check the river if I missed.
I like this because: A) We have good pot equity so betting the turn isn’t that expensive B) There is a small but reasonable chance that he is betting a draw, so getting to showdown isn’t that expensive C) He may even fold bottom pair All these combined, I think, give us a better EV than taking a free turn card and folding river. Or just calling down. Although it could be close, and I could be wrong.
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