#11
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Re: Final Table hand - 76s
I would fold here.
You're on a draw. While albiet a strong one, since you are more skilled than the button and the SB, you shouldn't need to take a close to coin flip decision for all your chips. Wait for a better spot. |
#12
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Re: Final Table hand - 76s
Many players on this forum post about xxx play being +EV when they are on the bubble or on the final table..
Calling an all in when you are down to 3 and you are drawing may be +EV in the long run but this is the very very short run, I dont think you should be playing hands which will win over time. You should be concentratng on the winning hand at the time. If your opponent decides to take on a draw, good for him, Id rather have a made pair which in your case I believe your opponent had. Fold and wait for a better chance. As one of the other posters has already stated, if this guy is making mini raises preflop and you are in the BB you can call a few of these, win a few and you wont have to worry about the tempreture of your cards. So being aggressive with a draw is good, calling with one at this point will cost u. Congrats on your placing.(which position did you finish?) Dawdy |
#13
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Re: Final Table hand - 76s
Nate,
The numbers here seem a little vague. I think a big draw is more likely than you have it. But anyhow, I think that if you did this same calculation for moving over the top of the button's next min raise all in, you would find a more positive EV situation. Even if a call here does have positive EV, it wont make it correct. It's like if you played 1/2 and passed on 15/30. No limit holdem, in my opinion, is about folding equity. In your description of the button you describe him as a very loose caller, but surely he is able to fold to a raise, right? Winning pots without showing down your hand, and hovering around until you get a real obvious +EV situation (like calling a raise/all-in with big pair) is what my goal here with the type of stack you have. Gambool it up, but toss your chips around where you expect to win pots without a showdown. -Jason |
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