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#1
10-10-2005, 10:10 AM
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50/100 - QQ in EP, capped pre-flop
Edit:
Villain is 15/7/2 I raised QQ in EP, MP cold calls, Villain 3-bets, i cap, MP folds, Villain calls. Flop A 8 3 rainbow. I bet he calls Turn J I bet he calls River J I bet he calls Edit: Clearly my River bet is a mistake, but I just noticed afterwards =) 
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#2
10-10-2005, 12:24 PM
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Re: 50/100 - QQ in EP, capped pre-flop
Clearly my River bet is a mistake
Why? Do you think he is checking KK behind after you check? He sure as [censored] isn't checking an A behind. I suppose you could check/fold against a 15/7, but I don't think that would be very good for your metagame.
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#3
10-10-2005, 12:48 PM
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Re: 50/100 - QQ in EP, capped pre-flop
If villain doesn't 3-bet 99 preflop here, your turn equity is ~22%. I'm check-folding. If he can 3-bet 99, my turn bet is the last of my money going into the pot. After all, how could he possibly call the turn with TT-99? Against your capping range on this board his equity is 4.4%! (Unless you cap liberally with suited Broadway connectors, but doing that against a 15/7/2 is pretty awful IMO.)
I agree your river bet is terrible.
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#4
10-10-2005, 01:02 PM
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Re: 50/100 - QQ in EP, capped pre-flop
[ QUOTE ]
I agree your river bet is terrible. [/ QUOTE ] Turn bet isn't too hot either.
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#5
10-10-2005, 02:14 PM
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Re: 50/100 - QQ in EP, capped pre-flop
[ QUOTE ]
Turn bet isn't too hot either. [/ QUOTE ] The more I think about it, the more I agree the turn bet sucks. Check/fold. The only hands I can picutre OP being ahead of here are 99 and TT. We can't even be sure 99 would 3 bet pre flop so mostly TT. If that's the case, we are only a 4-1 dog to his range of hands, and the pot is laying 6-1. However, adjust this for how villain would play the flop with 99 or TT. You capped pre flop against 2 players. You almost certainly have a premium hand, (AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AK). After that flop, what hands can villain put you on that he beats? Pretty much nothing. He's a standard TAG. If he does have TT or 99, he almost certainly folds the flop. Adjusting your 4-1 odds against his pre flop hand range according to his flop play, and you're probably closer to a 40-1 dog (or worse) against his revised range. Give up and move on.
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#6
10-10-2005, 07:00 PM
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Re: 50/100 - QQ in EP, capped pre-flop
What does the '2' stand for in 15/7/2? Thanks.
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