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#1
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Odds question
This situation presented itself to me when I was playing 2-4 on Partypoker. What are the odds when you have 3 to a straight in succession and 3 to a flush after the flop. What are the odds of making either the straight or the flush. Forget about overcards and runner runner two pair or 3 of a kind as possible ways to win. Sometimes on Party you will be getting over 20-1 on your money after the flop and that seems like enough to call but would like to know exact odds.
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#2
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Re: Odds question
Treat these backdoor draws as approximately 1.5 outs each. That means that on a loose table, you should be calling these double backdoor draws on the flop for one bet very frequently.
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#3
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Re: Odds question
[ QUOTE ]
This situation presented itself to me when I was playing 2-4 on Partypoker. What are the odds when you have 3 to a straight in succession and 3 to a flush after the flop. What are the odds of making either the straight or the flush. Forget about overcards and runner runner two pair or 3 of a kind as possible ways to win. Sometimes on Party you will be getting over 20-1 on your money after the flop and that seems like enough to call but would like to know exact odds. Thx [/ QUOTE ] 23:1 on the backdoor flush draw 21.5:1 on the backdoor 3-straight 11:1 combined 2 cards give you 15 outs 2 cards give you 12 outs 6 cards give you 9 outs 6 cards give you 8 outs 6 cards give you 4 outs To get there, you will have to probably call another bet on the turn. Which makes the play less profitable than if it were a true 1 outer where you can make your hand on the turn. Also, some of the times you hit the 11:1, you have to nail a 4 outer on the river. For example, you have A7, the board is 68Q. You have a three straight, and sometimes you make a straight when it comes T then 9 for a gutshot, or 4 then 5 for a gutshot. You may not have the odds to call a gutshot once the bet doubles, however. The plus side is that people are less likely to believe you made a runner runner hand, so you usually get paid off on the end. Bottom line, it's probably not a good play on a rainbow board without an overcard or a pair to go along with it unless you are getting 15:1. And if you're against a 2 flush, that takes away 4 of your straight card outs, so you need even better pot odds. |
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