river value raise?

[thesharpie]

I must be retarded 'cause I'm not getting why people don't think it's closer. Even if we give him a range of A7s, K7s, 33, AA, and 77 it's 7 we're beating and 4 we're behind. We probably don't need to be ahead a full 2/3s of the time as he'll often cap a full house because he has a full house, but I imagine he slows down quite often with K7s if he has it, and sometimes with the lower boats.

In actuality I think we should discount the hands we're beating even more. I can understand a 58/6/0.8 doing weird moves like opening K7s from MP yet limping AA and the whole bit, but a 33/6/0.6 seems in line to me for the most part.