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  #1  
Old 11-11-2005, 04:49 PM
EverettKings EverettKings is offline
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Default **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

Cross-posted from MTT

A couple weeks back, in this thread about satellite strategy, Adanthar made this claim:

[ QUOTE ]

[*I am open to a $1000 or more wager that I can make it from a miniStep 1 (5+1) to a miniStep 5 (400+30) playing on $30 or less. I'd make it less than that but I've gotta leave room for aces getting cracked. Of course, this blatantly ignores $/hour.]

[/ QUOTE ]

And what do we do on 2+2 when someone make some fat spankingly outrageous claim like that? Why, we wager of course.

So after a few PMs, we settle on a bet of $1,000. Adanthar has an account with $30 in it, can play only ministep 1s (and any freerolls earned thereafter). If he at any time gets an entry into a ministep 5, he wins and gets a shiny trophy (read: ten benjamins). If he has run his account to less than enough to buy in to a ministep 1 and has no freerolls left, I win the trophy and he gets a certificate of participation.


Since the money has been sent to an intermediary and the games begun, we can both now explain why we're so goddamn certain that we're getting the best of it. I estimate his chance of success to be 25%. I'm assuming that he's an outstanding player.

Would like to see what some of you think about this as the games play out, and what Adanthar has to say about it.

And boy am I ever going to have to eat my words if he makes it.

Everett
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  #2  
Old 11-11-2005, 04:59 PM
Apathy Apathy is offline
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Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

I don't understand why he agreed to do this bet for so little money considering the many hours this will surely take.
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  #3  
Old 11-11-2005, 05:03 PM
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Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

I'm rooting for Adanthar...but I don't think he can pull it off. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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  #4  
Old 11-11-2005, 07:36 PM
cha59 cha59 is offline
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Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

[ QUOTE ]
I'm rooting for Adanthar...but I don't think he can pull it off. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

This is possible for players of far less ability than Adanthar.

I say he will do it. GL Adanthar! [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]
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  #5  
Old 11-11-2005, 08:19 PM
gildwulf gildwulf is offline
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Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'm rooting for Adanthar...but I don't think he can pull it off. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

This is possible for players of far less ability than Adanthar.

I say he will do it. GL Adanthar! [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Of course it's possible, the point is how probable.
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  #6  
Old 11-11-2005, 09:34 PM
cha59 cha59 is offline
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Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'm rooting for Adanthar...but I don't think he can pull it off. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

This is possible for players of far less ability than Adanthar.

I say he will do it. GL Adanthar! [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Of course it's possible, the point is how probable.

[/ QUOTE ]

All he has to do is get to the step 5, not win it. Once you get past step 1, the top two places move up. Its hard to get knocked all the way out of these.

I dont know what the odds are, but I like his chances.
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  #7  
Old 11-11-2005, 05:11 PM
EverettKings EverettKings is offline
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Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

[ QUOTE ]
I don't understand why he agreed to do this bet for so little money considering the many hours this will surely take.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah that's a kicker of sorts, but he explicitly told me that he was going to figure out his $/hr before accepting this. Apparantly its still ok. Especially since if he wins, he probalby gets somemoney at the step 5 level.

[ QUOTE ]

I'm rooting for Adanthar...but I don't think he can pull it off.

[/ QUOTE ]

Obviously you have to root for him. Rooting for me is like rooting for the house. Or the yankees. Yuck.
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  #8  
Old 11-11-2005, 05:31 PM
pooh74 pooh74 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 316
Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't understand why he agreed to do this bet for so little money considering the many hours this will surely take.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah that's a kicker of sorts, but he explicitly told me that he was going to figure out his $/hr before accepting this. Apparantly its still ok. Especially since if he wins, he probalby gets somemoney at the step 5 level.

[ QUOTE ]

I'm rooting for Adanthar...but I don't think he can pull it off.

[/ QUOTE ]

Obviously you have to root for him. Rooting for me is like rooting for the house. Or the yankees. Yuck.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would rather root for the house on the nickel slots than root for the Yankees.
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  #9  
Old 11-11-2005, 05:17 PM
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Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

This is the not g00t bet becase there are great player at the upper level and he will likely lose there becase people at the high level play there all the time.
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  #10  
Old 11-11-2005, 05:24 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: **Official ADANTHAR $1k MiniStep Challenge** (Xpost)

[ QUOTE ]
This is the not g00t bet becase there are great player at the upper level and he will likely lose there becase people at the high level play there all the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

adanthar = g00t plahyzheerzlkh
he had very many skzierlzlasd
doubt dont g00t player
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