All good?

aflaba · #1 08-27-2005, 09:20 PM

Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls, Hero raises, Button calls, SB calls, BB 3-bets, UTG calls, Hero caps, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (20 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets.

Final Pot: 10.50 BB

jba · #2 08-27-2005, 09:26 PM

looks good, pray like hell for running hearts or queens, K/J....

ArturiusX · #3 08-27-2005, 09:26 PM

I think you're getting check-raised here close to 80% of the time.

kurosh · #4 08-27-2005, 10:44 PM

Isn't that good?

aflaba · #5 09-03-2005, 03:57 PM

Yeah, I thought I was. But if I can only improve my chances of winning by something like 5-8% - (2*.8[c/r] + 1*.2[called])/Final potsize - then it is worth it.

Does the bet increase my chances of winning by 5%+?

I figured there is a small but significant possility I am ahead. By checking the flop I pretty much give up on winning without improvement?

My bet + opponents c/r might get hands like A2, Q2 and maybe even A8, Q8 out. Insignificant?

If I get called then on the turn I can either fire again or take a free card.

All of these factors seem kind of vague to me. What do you think? Are there enough? Is there more to consider?