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  #1  
Old 08-24-2004, 10:01 AM
t_perkin t_perkin is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Iceland - back in England soon!
Posts: 532
Default Re: AJo 8 Handed

he said:

[ QUOTE ]

I have good reason to believe I am ahead


[/ QUOTE ]

Why did he think he was ahead? all he has is over cards. The strength of his hand comes from drawing either a spade, A or J.

Anybody with a pair is giving you more EV by allowing you to draw for free.

I am not saying that the push is a terrible move, but I don't think it is as good as checking.

just some thoughts

Tim
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  #2  
Old 08-24-2004, 10:31 AM
mackthefork mackthefork is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 82
Default Re: AJo 8 Handed

[ QUOTE ]
Why did he think he was ahead? all he has is over cards. The strength of his hand comes from drawing either a spade, A or J.

[/ QUOTE ]

It was because
a) he never reraised preflop
b) he checked the flop

I believed he would do both these things with AQ AJ AT A9 KQ AA KK maybe even some weaker Aces and Kings. I did not think he would check if he paired up with the board rags in some way, I also thought he would bet the flop with an overpair less than KK. I felt I had many outs if called which i felt was unlikely. Those were the things I was thinking, I basically was already scraping in that small pot, but I got burnt.

I take your point about checking behind, I know I rarely do this and maybe this is a big fault. I know I lose a lot of chips in the 12-10 handed stages of these things and I tend to make a lot of this up when it goes full table again often with this sorts of aggresive (stupid) moves. Once again thanks for your comments.

Regards Mack
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