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  #11  
Old 12-01-2005, 05:53 PM
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Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

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Looks good to me.

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Me too. (lvl 4 is not early)

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We're not even at the bubble yet. I'm folding the coinflip. Also, you have no FE here.

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Bubble or no bubble. Blinds are high. This is not early. And you have lots of fold equity. I have no idea what you're talking about.

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He has FE against the guy who raised 300 from his 800 chip stack? Nah.
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  #12  
Old 12-01-2005, 05:54 PM
splashpot splashpot is offline
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Location: Needham, MA
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Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

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He has FE against the guy who raised 300 from his 800 chip stack?

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That's exactly what I'm saying.
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  #13  
Old 12-01-2005, 05:55 PM
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Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

I push this every time. Looks fine.
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  #14  
Old 12-01-2005, 05:55 PM
liucipher liucipher is offline
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Location: Seat 6, $11s
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Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

I agree that the blinds are high. It decidedly does not feel early to me, given my soon to be <10xBB status (granted everyone else has very little, but given how tight I'm going to have to play unless I'm in CO or Button, people are going to start doubling through like mad, and oftentimes not in ways favorable to me).

But do I really have fold equity? Villain just put in 37% of his stack. He is BB next hand and his SB rises hand after that. Granted he probably isn't even thinking of that, but that he's getting 1.4:1.
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  #15  
Old 12-01-2005, 05:55 PM
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Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

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He has FE against the guy who raised 300 from his 800 chip stack?

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That's exactly what I'm saying.

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UTG isn't folding. Especially at the 11s.
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  #16  
Old 12-01-2005, 05:56 PM
skipperbob skipperbob is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 2
Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

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Looks good to me.

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Me too. (lvl 4 is not early)

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We're not even at the bubble yet. I'm folding the coinflip. Also, you have no FE here.

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Bubble or no bubble. Blinds are high. This is not early. And you have lots of fold equity. I have no idea what you're talking about.

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He has no FE; the bettor is going to call...End of Story!. Best case TT is 50/50..Many worse cases...On-Topic Holla
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  #17  
Old 12-01-2005, 05:58 PM
liucipher liucipher is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Seat 6, $11s
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Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

So I should fold? I've seen weak aces and smaller PPs raise here. Villain's similar raise less than ten hands before would also corroborate this. Plus there's a whopping t100 in overlay!

Good thing I took a leak and never fired up another set of SNGs.

I think I'm going to take a breather and read more posts ...
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  #18  
Old 12-01-2005, 06:01 PM
jb9 jb9 is offline
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Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

I don't know what your pushing range is, so I don't know if you have to tighten it or not...

But, yes, your chance of being called after the blinds increase is higher, and this means your opponents will be calling with weaker hands. Since you have more chips than they do, you can be more selective.

Don't get me wrong, your situation is still not great and you will most likely need to either win a coinflip or steal several sets of blinds.

If you want to try that coinflip with TT v. UTG's raise, then I don't have a real problem with that, but I don't think UTG will fold (leaving him with 5 BB and having to pay the blinds next turn...) and I think best case scenario there is UTG has 2 overcards.

I'd rather wait another orbit or two and look for a better chance. It is true that I might not get one.
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  #19  
Old 12-01-2005, 06:05 PM
bones bones is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 56
Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

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We're not even at the bubble yet. I'm folding the coinflip. Also, you have no FE here.

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Not even at the bubble? Guh. This is so wrong. So so wrong.
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  #20  
Old 12-01-2005, 06:10 PM
liucipher liucipher is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Seat 6, $11s
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Default Re: $11: how tilty am I? need some affirmation or abuse

Could someone give me Villain's raising range from UTG here? Is my flimsy "he raised this last orbit" read enough to give him a loose to average range?



I'm curious if I'm really that much of a coinflip ...
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