What is your play here?

[Ribbo]

***** Hand History for Game 2715842051 *****
$400 PL Omaha Hi/Lo - Thursday, September 15, 14:21:38 EDT 2005
Table Table 36723 (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: rainaruby ( $581.50 )
Seat 4: joeybadman ( $404.10 )
Seat 5: laupnevarc ( $231.60 )
Seat 6: CooLzRuLz ( $542.75 )
Seat 7: Ribbo ( $835.51 )
Seat 8: Vcard_ ( $186.25 )
Seat 2: ismellgood ( $496.85 )
Seat 10: Kiss_Cassie ( $396.80 )
Seat 3: ALLIE3911 ( $382.02 )
Seat 9: ArtDee ( $200 )
ALLIE3911 posts small blind [$2].
joeybadman posts big blind [$4].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Ribbo [ Ts Kh 9c Kd ]
CooLzRuLz folds.
Ribbo calls [$4].
Vcard_ folds.
ArtDee folds.
Kiss_Cassie folds.
rainaruby folds.
ismellgood raises [$18].
ALLIE3911 calls [$16].
joeybadman folds.
Ribbo calls [$14].
** Dealing Flop ** [ 7s, 9h, Qc ]
ALLIE3911 checks.
Ribbo checks.
ismellgood checks.
** Dealing Turn ** [ Th ]
ALLIE3911 bets [$25].

Ribbo.....

[got0uts]

Folding is never an option for Ribbo...

I would flat-call, because I make bad decisions, and then you have to be worried about the 3rd guy raising and possible huge river bets.

You are beat by several hands, and don't have a draw to the nut straight, nut straight, or any flush. Wouldn't you base the decision partly on PTO Stats?

I guess you could also be in the lead with 2 pair, against possible straight draw/flush draw wraps. How about a minimum raise here, and fold to any re-raise? I dunno.

[Ribbo]

[ QUOTE ]
I would flat-call, because I make bad decisions, and then you have to be worried about the 3rd guy raising and possible huge river bets.

You are beat by several hands, and don't have a draw to the nut straight, nut straight, or any flush. Wouldn't you base the decision partly on PTO Stats?

I guess you could also be in the lead with 2 pair, against possible straight draw/flush draw wraps. How about a minimum raise here, and fold to any re-raise? I dunno.

[/ QUOTE ]

Look at the 4 cards in your hand you hold and look at the size of the bet from the opponent. Does that look like someone with KJ to you? If it doesn't, why not use the fact you have position to your advantage. You know your opponent very very likely does not have the nuts.

I actually bottled it and only made it $75 to go, but he folded anyway.

You're right, not a bad time to represent the straight, or even just your 2-pair (which might be good here).

I know at lower levels, QQxx or AAxx with flush or straight draws might not go away that quickly.

[Alchemist]

[ QUOTE ]

Look at the 4 cards in your hand you hold and look at the size of the bet from the opponent. Does that look like someone with KJ to you? If it doesn't, why not use the fact you have position to your advantage. You know your opponent very very likely does not have the nuts.

I actually bottled it and only made it $75 to go, but he folded anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]
At the same time, why would your opponents think it reasonable for you to have a better hand, having limped in EP then calling a pot raise PF? (I play very little PL but KKT9 looks like an easy PF fold to me, especially in early position)

What about the PF raiser still to act? Can you expect him to fold AA here even with the nut flush draw?

[got0uts]

Does that look like someone with KJ to you

I did about the same like what you've done and got called once, the river paired so no one bet (I tempted with my position). Villain held KJ (He had nothing else related to the board so he was afraid of free-rolling so he didn't play back at me, I guessed) while I had 2 Ks.

Don't count on it.

Edited: Btw, the river didn't pair mine.

[Ribbo]

If the river blanks I pot, but it's like any other situation, they hit their draw they will bet, otherwise they will check fold to your bet.

The point is anyone with a lower straight on the turn cannot afford to call 2 bets in a pot limit game. Folding is the only option on the turn.

[Drizztdj]

Excellent pressure bet there Ribbo. Are you folding if he flat calls and leads if/when the river blanks?

If you think he's bluffing, raise; otherwise fold. Your cards don't matter much here.

A 1/2 pot bet smells like a non-nut straight, a flush draw, or the nut straight with no redraws.