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  #11  
Old 07-29-2005, 05:59 PM
iMsoLucky0 iMsoLucky0 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Norman, Oklahoma
Posts: 516
Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

[ QUOTE ]
The SB is calling you with any two. But he's pushing any two next hand also. So I dunno, I hate this spot. I think I grit my teeth and fold, hope AA vs. KK happens, and hope for a better hand in the BB.

[/ QUOTE ]

The SB is DEFINITELY not calling me with any two, and he certainly isn't pushing any two the next hand either. He had been very tight and didn't seem to understand the bubble concept. He had only pushed twice out of the last 10-12 hands and once he had AK and the other he had AQ.
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  #12  
Old 07-29-2005, 06:18 PM
Ryendal Ryendal is offline
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Posts: 18
Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

Really interested hand. And would you play it, if we add one another 1000 stack UTG who fold before you. In this case we are no longer in the bubble.
And if not, what would be the minimum hand you would push ?
some Q9+ or even weaker hand ?

I ask that to make me some better idea of the "energy" here or else where. I hope I'm not too curious [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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  #13  
Old 07-29-2005, 06:25 PM
iMsoLucky0 iMsoLucky0 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Norman, Oklahoma
Posts: 516
Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

[ QUOTE ]
Really interested hand. And would you play it, if we add one another 1000 stack UTG who fold before you. In this case we are no longer in the bubble.
And if not, what would be the minimum hand you would push ?
some Q9+ or even weaker hand ?

I ask that to make me some better idea of the "energy" here or else where. I hope I'm not too curious [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I would definitely fold this if there was another 1k stack in between me and the blinds. I would have another to hand to look at to push with that would most definitely be better than 4 6.

I'm not sure the exact range I would push with, I'd have to see the exact stacks and situation. I'm sure it would be with at least the top half of hands and maybe even more than that. I mean there's no way I'm folding 78s or J9o or a hand that good there.

I just talked to citanul on AIM, and he said this "i like push more than fold and pray almost always, at least then you feel like you made a decision." And I agree with this very much. I'd almost always rather push and take my chances than wait for the blinds and call due to pot odds.
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  #14  
Old 07-29-2005, 06:27 PM
Jman28 Jman28 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 234
Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

[ QUOTE ]

I just talked to citanul on AIM, and he said this "i like push more than fold and pray almost always, at least then you feel like you made a decision." And I agree with this very much. I'd almost always rather push and take my chances than wait for the blinds and call due to pot odds.


[/ QUOTE ]

I agree because of the tightness of the BB.

Also, do you talk to every single member of this forum on AIM?
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  #15  
Old 07-29-2005, 06:36 PM
adanthar adanthar is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 27
Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

This is pretty much a 'take the ICM and then correct it' math problem that I haven't really done or thought much about because I don't play these, but my gut feeling is that the flatter payout is a good reason to (try to) fold marginal hands and slide into fourth exactly because second and third aren't worth as much comparatively.

What's the payout, 45/25/18/12? If you push and are called which is usually gonna happen, you've a 33% chance of being worth around 18, so...yeah, I think you fold this. But it's a tough spot, pushing doesn't really suck or anything, etc.
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  #16  
Old 07-29-2005, 06:48 PM
Scuba Chuck Scuba Chuck is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: 1-table tournaments
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Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

These are my thoughts.

Big blinds is:
Seat 9: BlindBOMB ( $5080 )

You pushing is a guaranteed 2:1. So if he is a sound player, he is likely to call. If he is a donkey, I think he's likely to call as well.

Next, given that bigstack is a tight SB on the next hand (or perhaps reasonable is the correct terminology), he could/might provide some coverage from the other players. Furthermore, your stack is so desperate, that you likely won't see a steal attempt without a real hand. If things play out according to plan, the next hand will be folded to SB who just completes (maybe even folds). You decide how to play from here.

This is how I would have rationalized your hand.

Scuba
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  #17  
Old 07-29-2005, 06:53 PM
iMsoLucky0 iMsoLucky0 is offline
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Location: Norman, Oklahoma
Posts: 516
Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

The 5080 stack was the SB, Warma, the 1090 stack was the BB. I didn't expect a call from any player without a decent hand. Noone seemed like they would take the nice odds given on this pot from my push with random cards.
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  #18  
Old 07-29-2005, 07:10 PM
microbet microbet is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
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Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

Rock and a hard place, but if you fold and pray what are the chances this passive table answers your prayer and folds around? Even the aggro player will be reluctant to try and steal the BB from a short stack that will likely call.
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  #19  
Old 07-29-2005, 08:06 PM
psyduck psyduck is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 235
Default Re: Step 5 bubble hand.

hand is a little too weak to do this I think. hope the SB open-completes next hand and you can go from there.

this is a really horrible spot though
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