11s-33s: Mid pocket pairs-Odds for Set Value/Mid level

[rbear]

Has anyone done the math on this? It doesn't necessarily seem like an easy task, and it intuitively seems pretty close to me. I definitely don't double up every time I hit a set(or even every other). Maybe I'm just a total donk. Additionally, to get any sort of overpair value like you suggest, I find that more limpers in the pot is more likely for one to hit small top pair, and therefore, more likely to pay me off. With more limpers, also comes the chance that someone hits 2 pair, straight, flush draw, etc. I think that it potentially could be very close, or possible -EV, limping these in level 3 (just because of blinds relative to my average stack size at this level). Thoughts?