Ever heard of this? (action-oriented post)

[Irieguy]

This post has nothing to do with my poker ability or lack thereof.

I have some game-theory based ideas about SNGs that led me to think of an interesting proposition bet.

I'm going to play 100 $5+1 SNGs on Party(skin) with a sticky-note covering my hole cards. I will never look at my hole cards. Ever.

I will be willing to wager up to $300 that my ROI will be positive.

Again, this has nothing to do with me or my ability... I'm just a bot here that knows a little about bluffing.

I don't want to run an experiment, because I don't want to play 1000 of them. So, I'll have to settle for a proposition bet. That way, while the results will be almost entirely uninteresting... at least it will be fun.

Irieguy

[KingDan]

Does your ROI take into consideration the rake? If not I think you can do it.

[gildwulf]

How would we know that you were covering your hole-cards, and how would we know what your actual ROI is?

If there was some way to figure this out I would take $300 on it.

[wulfheir]

I remember someone doing this a while back. I thought it was entertaining, especially when he foled AA. I'll be watching.

[gumpzilla]

It's an interesting idea. However, between 20% rake, an inability to use big hands early to expand your stack, and an audience that probably calls a little too much until the bubble itself, I think this might be a little tricky. I'd lay $50 that you can't do it. Even money, I assume.

EDIT: I trust there are no rakeback loopholes here. That would alter my decision, perhaps.

[Irieguy]

[ QUOTE ]
How would we know that you were covering your hole-cards, and how would we know what your actual ROI is?

If there was some way to figure this out I would take $300 on it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Whomever ends up taking this action will likely know me, or at least know of my financial dealings with forum members... so this won't be a concern.

Irieguy

[valenzuela]

If I had the money I would sure accept the bet.( rakeback not included) Im willing to bet $25 anyone else wants to join??
pd: irieguy can prove he didnt look at his cards by sending us the HHs.

[gildwulf]

I'll take $25 (including the rake and excluding rakeback).

PM me when you get started.

[wulfheir]

Here's a link to The Blind Challenge thread

[lastchance]

You can't bluff $6 players. Value-betting is very, very good, much better than in the $215's. I don't think you can do it.

Guess you're trying to fold ITM then...