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#1
12-30-2005, 12:39 PM
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Re: Moving Up Is Hard To Do
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] ok, some of these posts are kind of bothering me, so I'm going to throw in my 2 cents. I am going to be kind of a nit to all of the people talking about winrates, because in all honesty they don't mean much. Even after 100k hands at a given limit you still may be quite far from your true winrate. That being said, since not many of us have the time to play a million hands at each level, we must infer some things from short term results. [/ QUOTE ] I find it hard to believe that after 100,000 hands you can be quite far from your true winrate. And, yes, I've taken statistics courses. [/ QUOTE ] GoT did a simulation, 100 1.8BB/100 16.9SD/100 winners at a certain level after 100k hands for each the winrates varied from 0.5(roughly) to 3.5(roughly I don't have the exact numbers offhand) and the overall winrate for them all over 10million hands was 1.95 if your winrate can be off by .15BB/100 after 10million hands, it can be off a ton as shown after much smaller ranges 
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#2
12-30-2005, 12:41 PM
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Re: Moving Up Is Hard To Do
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] ok, some of these posts are kind of bothering me, so I'm going to throw in my 2 cents. I am going to be kind of a nit to all of the people talking about winrates, because in all honesty they don't mean much. Even after 100k hands at a given limit you still may be quite far from your true winrate. That being said, since not many of us have the time to play a million hands at each level, we must infer some things from short term results. [/ QUOTE ] I find it hard to believe that after 100,000 hands you can be quite far from your true winrate. And, yes, I've taken statistics courses. [/ QUOTE ] GoT did a simulation, 100 1.8BB/100 16.9SD/100 winners at a certain level after 100k hands for each the winrates varied from 0.5(roughly) to 3.5(roughly I don't have the exact numbers offhand) and the overall winrate for them all over 10million hands was 1.95 if your winrate can be off by .15BB/100 after 10million hands, it can be off a ton as shown after much smaller ranges [/ QUOTE ] you're late...see my post above. Also, you need a new avatar. Whenever I see obsidian's posts it makes me think he's you. Also, Christmas is now over and you need to give me my new avatar by New Year's
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