(NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club

splashpot · #1 10-21-2005, 09:15 AM

Let's see how long I keep this streak going.

EricW · #2 10-21-2005, 09:20 AM

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Let's see how long I keep this streak going.

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i thought you played lots dude? you JUST went 10 OOTM?? I've had 5 of those in the past 828 games.

tigerite · #3 10-21-2005, 09:28 AM

I've had 14, or something, and over 10 at least 3 times I can remember. In fact it might have been 17. Damned if I remember now.

splashpot · #4 10-21-2005, 09:30 AM

I've only been playing a lot for 3-4 months. I've got about 2000 games. I guess I've been lucky that I haven't hit this til now?

EricW · #5 10-21-2005, 09:37 AM

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I've only been playing a lot for 3-4 months. I've got about 2000 games. I guess I've been lucky that I haven't hit this til now?

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Wow you luck box [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

2000 games and just your first 10 OOTM streak? Perhaps a math guy like tigerite can figure out what the chances of playing 2000 games without a 10+ OOTM streak is (let's assume that splashpot's ITM % is 39% for this little experiment).

splashpot · #6 10-21-2005, 09:50 AM

Ended at 10. I just came in 2nd.

unreal_nh · #7 10-21-2005, 10:22 AM

hmmm... try 4/0/1/32. that includes ootm streaks of 12 and 14. I WIN! [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

meanjean · #8 10-21-2005, 10:45 AM

[ QUOTE ]

Wow you luck box [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

2000 games and just your first 10 OOTM streak? Perhaps a math guy like tigerite can figure out what the chances of playing 2000 games without a 10+ OOTM streak is (let's assume that splashpot's ITM % is 39% for this little experiment).

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at 40% ITM there is a 0.6% chance of ten consecuative OOTM finishes...so about 11 to 1 against...

did I do that right? .6 expodential 10=.006...2000*0.006=12

zipppy · #9 10-21-2005, 11:12 AM

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at 40% ITM there is a 0.6% chance of ten consecuative OOTM finishes...so about 11 to 1 against...

did I do that right? .6 expodential 10=.006...2000*0.006=12

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That is correct. What this also means is that with 40% ITM, you have appoxiately 0.01% chance of getting ITM 10 times in a row. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

>>>ZIPPPY

splashpot · #10 10-21-2005, 11:18 AM

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6 expodential 10=.006...2000*0.006=12

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Does this mean that I statistically should have had 12 of these OOTM streaks? Or am I completely reading that wrong.