#1
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draws on the flop
Question I should know the answer to, but here it is anyway. What is the proceedure for figuring out drawing odds with two cards to come? For some reason I thought that the probabilities were determined by combining each street and dividing by 2, but this is not coming out correctly. Thanks for a clarification. |
#2
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Re: draws on the flop
Example 10 outs:47 unseen cards. With 2 to come there are 47*46/2*1 combinations of cards=1081. Chance of hitting your card twice = 10*9/2*1=45 ways. Chances of hitting your card once( hit/miss combo)is 10 hits * 37 miss(47cards-10 hits)=370. Add 370 hit/miss combos + 45 Hit/Hit combos =415. Odds =1081 Total-415 (combinations which include at least one of your outs):415 or 1081-451:415=666:415 = 1.6:1 |
#3
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Re: draws on the flop
Thanks Steve, I knew I was missing a step. |
#4
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Re: draws on the flop
If we use Steve's reasoning for n outs instead of 10 outs we get: (C[n, 2] + n*(47 - n))/C[47, 2] = (93 - n)*n/2162. Which is petty close to 4% per out. |
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