#21
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Re: Another Fourth St. Decision
</font><blockquote><font class="small">In reply to:</font><hr />
its a matter of giving the 2nd guy the correct odds to call or not, hence his odds of winning determine the correct pot size [/ QUOTE ] I disagree. If the first guy is drawing dead, you don't want to give the 2nd guy any chance to call, regardless of whether he has pot odds or not. It doesn't matter who you collect the 1 extra bet from - the player behind you or the player who's drawing dead - in this scenario you'll still get only one more bet. However, which is better - getting 1 bet from a guy who has no chance to beat you, or getting 1 bet from a guy who has a slim chance to beat you? All else being the same (which it is) you'll always take the sure money from the first bettor. |
#22
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final answer
after careful re-consideration i will word my answer as follows:
scenario #1 you raise, EV = 0.82*(pot size + $40) - 0.18*$40 scenario #2 you call, EV = 0.75*(pot size + $40) - 0.25*$20 when is #1 > #2 0.82(x+40)-0.18*40 > 0.75(x+40)-0.25*20 when x > -$8.57 raise ---- in other words raise any amount possible i wish the teacher would tell us the answer so i could put the nails in this one and move on to something more constructive. [img]/forums/images/icons/laugh.gif[/img] |
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