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Old 11-30-2005, 02:48 PM
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Default Re: stars 10r, the badbeat, the suckout and the debateable call

Hand 1 I'm allright with. His range is a very easy read as you noted. He can't be worse than QQ, small chance of KK, likely AA. What else is someone going to make a smallish raise with against the big stack on the bubble? So your implied odds are good, you know exactly what your opponent has and you can get away from the hand with a ton of chips left if you don't make your set. The PF raise is fine with the big stack, and calling the reraise is fine. Excellent line on the flop, you knew he'd bet it, the check-raise is ideal there. That beat musta been a gut punch for ya.

But the hand 2 suckout makes up for it. I'm not sure if I like the push, but if you raise, you're going to end up all-in if someone comes back all-in. As the second smallest stack, it seems reasonable, but it depends how big your stack is relative to the folks behind you and whether you actually have significant FE.

3rd hand, that's real read-dependant. if you were totally convinced that the villain would reraise all-in without a strong hand, then i imagine you're +EV against his range. against a normal TAG range, this is a lot riskier.
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Old 11-30-2005, 02:51 PM
centja1 centja1 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
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Default Re: stars 10r, the badbeat, the suckout and the debateable call

hand one is a do you want variance question. you're getting just a little under the necessary 7.5:1 with the implied odds, but you'll get a nice 33% bump in chips and eliminate a player if you hit. I like the call of the re-raise, personally, but a fold could not be argued with. Raising 77 UTG is a bit aggressive for my tastes, though.

re-raising all-in twice in ten minutes is pretty aggressive and I like the ATs against that range. Two questions, though, did he do this every time someone opened in LP and he had not yet acted? Did he ever do this on the button? These questions can significantly narrow down or expand his range of hands depending on the answers.
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