I can't beat the 20-table SNGs

[ QUOTE ]
Example of how bad the play is even late. At the final table, with 7 left, I was the short stack with 24k, blinds 1k/2k. I pushed 55 in MP and the guy right behind me called 70% of his stack with QhJh. Now I was pushing a lot on the button and in the small blind, but I'm pretty sure my range from this position with 12xBB has QJs beat pretty bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

You do realize that you're a slight underdog in this hand, right? Also, he may have figured you wouldn't push AA, AK, KK, QQ, and maybe not AQ/AJ/KQ/JJ. You probably want action on them (at least the 1st 4), you don't want to just fold everyone out. With 55 you usually don't want a call. Giving you a fairly tight range he's less than a 60/40 underdog, but maybe he had a better read on you than you think, or maybe he saw you steal so often he figured you for a super LAG who could push with anything. He could have been a total donk, but this wasn't a terrible call.

41,095,296 games 0.150 secs 273,968,640 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 50.8547 % 50.52% 00.33% { QJs }
Hand 2: 49.1453 % 48.81% 00.33% { 55 }
---
643,826,304 games 1.342 secs 479,751,344 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 41.5769 % 41.08% 00.50% { QJs }
Hand 2: 58.4231 % 57.92% 00.50% { JJ-44, AJs-ATs, KQs, AQo-ATo, KQo }

[betgo]

QJs is slightly ahead of 55. However, as you analyzed, it is significantly behind hero's pushing range. So villain is definately a little behind even with pot odds. However, the worst thing about the call is that someone behind them could call with a big hand that dominates QJs.

It is possible villain really wants to gamble and take one of the top places. Villain may also have misread hero and may not understand the play of pushing with a pp or strong high cards from mid position and think hero is a maniac who may have a weak hand. He may also read that hero would only do this with a low to medium pp and he is slightly ahead plus pot odds.

It is not a good call, but I have seen much worse plays.

How long do you people think is the long run in these?

Assuming Stars runs these fulltime somewhere down the line I plan to try to play 12 a day. So 84 per week. I would like to come ahead $1k each week. How long should I take before I evaluate my performance and if I'm running bad/good? I think that $1k may be a little low as well but I'm not greedy.

[citanul]

i can't find these on stars, i'm terrible at the stars lobby. can someone give me a clue?

[benneh]

they only run for 2 hours a night. they'll be at the top int he tourney/regular section (and i think the SNG section also)

[TomHimself]

Tourney-ALl
they are the first ones on top, at night

[dealcloser]

Played in a few. Finished ITM twice, on the bubble once, and outside the money once. Had bad beats in all of them that crippled or eliminated me. Perhaps I need to take more chances to get a bigger stack earlier on.

[pooh74]

Same here betgo...Only played a few so it means nothing, but Im always just ITM or out early...there's some pretty bad play though.

[pooh74]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Example of how bad the play is even late. At the final table, with 7 left, I was the short stack with 24k, blinds 1k/2k. I pushed 55 in MP and the guy right behind me called 70% of his stack with QhJh. Now I was pushing a lot on the button and in the small blind, but I'm pretty sure my range from this position with 12xBB has QJs beat pretty bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

You do realize that you're a slight underdog in this hand, right? Also, he may have figured you wouldn't push AA, AK, KK, QQ, and maybe not AQ/AJ/KQ/JJ. You probably want action on them (at least the 1st 4), you don't want to just fold everyone out. With 55 you usually don't want a call. Giving you a fairly tight range he's less than a 60/40 underdog, but maybe he had a better read on you than you think, or maybe he saw you steal so often he figured you for a super LAG who could push with anything. He could have been a total donk, but this wasn't a terrible call.

41,095,296 games 0.150 secs 273,968,640 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 50.8547 % 50.52% 00.33% { QJs }
Hand 2: 49.1453 % 48.81% 00.33% { 55 }
---
643,826,304 games 1.342 secs 479,751,344 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 41.5769 % 41.08% 00.50% { QJs }
Hand 2: 58.4231 % 57.92% 00.50% { JJ-44, AJs-ATs, KQs, AQo-ATo, KQo }


[/ QUOTE ]

Calling 70% of his stack with QJs is a bad call, no other way about it...hero could turn over 23o and it doesnt make it any better a call...your logic about QJs being slightly ahead of hero's 55 is wrong...i think you know that.