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  #1  
Old 12-14-2005, 11:26 PM
Coolidge Coolidge is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 17
Default Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

.5/1 Full Ring (Pokerroom)

This is Villian's 1st hand at the table. I have no PA stats on him so I don't know shiznit.

Hero has A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] in EP.

PRE -
1 fold, Hero raises, folds to Villian in BB who calls

FLOP - 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls

TURN - Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero 3-bets, BB caps

RIVER - J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
BB bets, Hero calls.

I don't know WTF on the turn. What kind of hands would you expect to see here at SD? Was the turn 3-bet ok? Will someone play a draw on the turn like this? The river card is kinda nasty. Any one play this one differently?
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  #2  
Old 12-14-2005, 11:35 PM
McGahee McGahee is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 735
Default Re: Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

Don't really dig the 3-bet. An unknown can usually beat a pair when he does this vs. an EP raiser.
I just played a hand where I 3-bet a turn C/R with AQ on a Q349 board on the turn, but that was against a TAG who thought I was stealing from the button, ya know?
I don't see how the river really changes anything in your hand.
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  #3  
Old 12-14-2005, 11:42 PM
Coolidge Coolidge is offline
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Default Re: Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

[ QUOTE ]
I don't see how the river really changes anything in your hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

It doesn't, I'm just being results oriented.
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  #4  
Old 12-14-2005, 11:51 PM
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Default Re: Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't see how the river really changes anything in your hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

It doesn't, I'm just being results oriented.

[/ QUOTE ]

It most definitely does change things.

When c/r on the the turn I put him on 4 types of hands.

1. TPGK
2. Pair +flush
3. Two pair
4. Straight/flush combo

I 3bet because I'm ahead of 3/4. When I'm capped, I think 3 is more likely but have 5 outs even against that.

On the river, I only beat AQ and KQ. Even QJ just jumped in front.

The river is a fold, but like I said, I doubt I'm good enought to make it.
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  #5  
Old 12-15-2005, 12:06 AM
shant shant is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 809
Default Re: Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

[ QUOTE ]
The river is a fold, but like I said, I doubt I'm good enought to make it.

[/ QUOTE ]
The river is a fold with a read on a player that you can narrow down to the range you posted. Without that read, I think folding is not as good. That's why I don't 3-bet the turn. I rarely have this problem anymore because I rarely play against unknowns, but I'm not 3-betting an unknown.
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  #6  
Old 12-15-2005, 06:06 PM
Coolidge Coolidge is offline
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Default RESULTS...

Well, Villian turned over KTo, for the straight. Isn't this a terrible line for Villian? Cap the turn with a gut shot? This cannot be +EV. Am I missing something here?
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  #7  
Old 12-15-2005, 12:34 AM
McGahee McGahee is offline
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Posts: 735
Default Re: Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

[ QUOTE ]
It most definitely does change things.

When c/r on the the turn I put him on 4 types of hands.

1. TPGK
2. Pair +flush
3. Two pair
4. Straight/flush combo

I 3bet because I'm ahead of 3/4. When I'm capped, I think 3 is more likely but have 5 outs even against that.

On the river, I only beat AQ and KQ. Even QJ just jumped in front.

The river is a fold, but like I said, I doubt I'm good enought to make it.


[/ QUOTE ]

The collective chances of two pair + set + bluff + TP are SO much more likely than any drawing hands or made/draw combos. There is absolutely no chance that he's playing a straight or flush draw often enough to tip the river from a call to a fold. None.
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  #8  
Old 12-15-2005, 02:03 AM
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Default Re: Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

[ QUOTE ]

The collective chances of two pair + set + bluff + TP are SO much more likely than any drawing hands or made/draw combos. There is absolutely no chance that he's playing a straight or flush draw often enough to tip the river from a call to a fold. None.

[/ QUOTE ]

I tried very hard but still have no idea what you are trying to say here.

Let me just say this:

If you think you have the best hand less than 30% after the turn c/r(which it seems you do), you should fold. You are only getting 7:2 on a call down.
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  #9  
Old 12-15-2005, 07:07 PM
ajm36 ajm36 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 18
Default Re: Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

[ QUOTE ]
When c/r on the the turn I put him on 4 types of hands.

1. TPGK
2. Pair +flush
3. Two pair
4. Straight/flush combo



[/ QUOTE ]

Why don't you consider a set as a possible hand?
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  #10  
Old 12-14-2005, 11:37 PM
shant shant is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 809
Default Re: Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

I think readless I get to showdown cheaply after being checkraised on the turn. The problem with being 3-bet is after you get capped on the turn, I want to fold the river, but against an unknown that isn't fun.
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