50+5r hand on party ... shocking results to come

[THATWACOKID]

About 60 left. 20 is in the money. I'm a little bit above average stack.


Villian is aggressive, but I haven't seen him do anything out of the ordinary. I'd been raising 2 or 3 times an orbit and have only showed down pocket jacks.

Bet the flop?

How is the turn push?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (9 handed) converter

UTG+1 (t4300)
MP1 (t10300)
MP2 (t5095)
Hero (t6992)
CO (t1085)
Button (t3177)
SB (t2490)
BB (t4235)
UTG (t5360)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t500</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls t300.

Flop: (t1100) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks.

Turn: (t1100) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets t1500</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t6492 (All-In)</font>, BB calls t2235 (All-In).

River: (t11327) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 2 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: t11327

[sapster]

What was your reasoning behind the turn push. It seems to me at first glance it is way too much risk and I don't understand what you are trying to represent, I bet this flop most of the time.

[THATWACOKID]

[ QUOTE ]
What was your reasoning behind the turn push.

[/ QUOTE ]

Does this not look like I have a strong hand?

[sapster]

There is 2600 in the pot and you are risking 6.5k, if your opponent is not bluffing he is probably calling because what would you check the flop with? I don't think its terrible but betting the flop is better in my mind here but I could be convinced otherwise.

[nath]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What was your reasoning behind the turn push.

[/ QUOTE ]

Does this not look like I have a strong hand?

[/ QUOTE ]

Not nearly as much as BB's OVERBET on the turn does. Nobody who overbets the pot is folding to a push (exception: UB players who hit the "bet pot" button anytime the action is checked to them). I think you're better off with a continuation bet / semi-bluff on the flop and then going from there.

[Pat Southern]

Bet the flop, you have J high, not a time to get tricky. I dont like the turn push, he's getting almost 3-1 on a call, so you'll get called by a lot of hands considering your flop check. It looks like you really didn't have any plan for this hand, and if you did I don't like it. There's a reason the steal raise/check behind/push line isn't used often.

[THATWACOKID]

He called with A-2. I suck ...

[THATWACOKID]

What sized bet would be good on the flop?

[Pat Southern]

500-700