TP against flop aggression

[Saborion]

Since I'm off to bed I'm posting the results a bit earlier than I wanted.

I called down and felt like a fish for doing so, as I usually do when I'm unsure about calling down and end up losing. He had 97 of hearts for the win.

[Sand]

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If I had to guess I would say Q9 here.

QQ, 99, 77 hed raise PF. 34% VPIP I dont see Q7s or 97s.

The problem with calling the flop and raising the turn is what he thinks you have.

for the set: 99, 77, QQ
for the TP with draw: AdQ, AdA

If my read is right you have 5 ways for the set and 9 ways to have AdQ or AdA. If I was him id reraise with Q9 if you just called the flop. If you have like AdKd would,nt you cap the flop?

Now because you capped the flop can you raise the turn? I think you can if you intend to call down. You can only hit a K in this case because I think he has Q9. But I dont think he can reraise you on the turn, you capped that flop and with the diamond it adds more hands to the mix that can beat him. AdKd, Adjd, QQ, 99, 77, KdJd and so on.

check unimproved on the river or bet if you hit a K.

[/ QUOTE ] The flop CR and resulting cap lends me to think he has a big draw.

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So you think he has a big draw here more often than a made hand when he caps out of position?

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Most of the time I seem to remember this happening more with big draws. A guy with 2 pair usually tends to call my flop raise and whack me on the turn. Maybe I'm the only one with a popup to all my opponents that says "please CR me on the turn, thanks". [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I see he had two pair. He played the hand well. With a two flush and a pretty straigtening board, I probably push this flop hard, too.

[Buckmulligan]

I'm calling the river bet but its so damn close.

[danzasmack]

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yeah i'm gonna have to say that the river call is -EV, but who has the stones to lay it down? i honestly get sick pleasure out of making folds like this.

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I'm the same until I muck a winner. Then I just post it and let everyone tell me to call.