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  #1  
Old 05-18-2005, 02:29 AM
lightw1thoutheat lightw1thoutheat is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 88
Default am i missing something

is this just a swing, or am i doing something wrong
aggro stats are 2.3/2.6/2.1
I've never had an 80+bb downswing.


1028 hands vpip-17.61
vpip(sb)-29.55
Folded SB to steal-90, folded bb to steal-66.7
att to steal-16.4 won $ WSF-27.23
BB/100- -7.72
went to SD-27.2 Won at SD-48
PFR-9.05

i dont want sympathy (maybe a little bit), i just want to know whether the variance can be this high 8 tabling 2/4, or if im missing something (took a month off from playing).

thanks
light
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  #2  
Old 05-18-2005, 02:33 AM
damaniac damaniac is offline
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Location: Not stopping running QB\'s
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Default Re: am i missing something

The number of tables you play has no bearing on your variance. Playing more tables will hurt your winrate, very little to a lot depending on how much your play falls off and how much your reads weaken. And if you play long enough, you can expect to see downswings of at least 150BB (just had my first one in the last week), and sometimes more. There might be some old posts speculating as to how often you can expect one, or how likely they are to occur over x many hands. But keep studying, keep playing, cut back the number of tables if you need to, and don't become weak-tight just because you have been losing.
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  #3  
Old 05-18-2005, 02:45 AM
Lurker4 Lurker4 is offline
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Location: Urbana, IL
Posts: 217
Default Re: am i missing something

80-100BB+ downswings are pretty common, and after a while you likely will have a 150-200BB downswing. The number of tables you are playing shouldn't affect your variance, think about it as playing 1 table but 8 times as fast. From a quick glance of your stats nothing looks too out of the ordinary, although it is only 1k hands so many of those stats are not close to converging.
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  #4  
Old 05-18-2005, 03:09 AM
Moozh Moozh is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 40
Default Re: am i missing something

Someday in the future you'll look back on this post and have yourself a little chuckle.
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  #5  
Old 05-18-2005, 04:42 AM
Bob T. Bob T. is offline
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Location: Shakopee, MN
Posts: 3,657
Default Re: am i missing something

am i missing something

Yes. Enough data to give this a second thought.
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