Flopped set, solid villain

#1 11-07-2005, 10:33 PM

Villain is 19/5 over 72 hands. Appears to be solid, and i have not seen him get out of line. i think that the small turn bet wants to see a cheap river. What say you? My play below the action..

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP3 ($94.60)
CO ($622.20)
Button ($214.90)
SB ($178.10)
BB ($180.80)
UTG ($300.40)
Hero ($200.95)
MP1 ($171.85)
MP2 ($193.40)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG raises to $5, Hero calls $5, 1 fold, MP2 calls $5, 1 fold, CO calls $5, 3 folds.

Flop: ($23) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
UTG bets $10, Hero raises to $30, MP2 folds, CO folds, UTG calls $20.

Turn: ($83) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG bets $10, [Hero??

Hero pushes.... A slight overbet, I know.... but there a lot of ugly river cards...

Spekkio · #2 11-07-2005, 10:50 PM

If the Villain is truly a solid player, push here and he's gotta be one hell of a player to lay down his AK. He may have hit a set of AA or KK but you're screwed then anyway.

#3 11-07-2005, 10:51 PM

I might raise to 100, but I like your line.

Mercman572 · #4 11-07-2005, 10:53 PM

whats his postflop aggression? that would be helpful. Based on the way this played given his stats, I think the turn bet is looking for a raise. He's got AK KK or AA i think.

EDIT, didn't realize he has no idea how to bet given blinds. Don't know how that changes things, but I don't think you can give credit for the above 3 hands as much given that.

#5 11-07-2005, 10:54 PM

I don't mind the overbet. You will likely get a call from AK, and most definitely A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]x [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and fold out most other draws. Pot is $93 now and you put in like $150? I think the only move here is all in. NH