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AK Unimproved
I'm basically forced to give up on this hand right?
Some reads on Villain: he is extremely aggressive postflop, but semi-tight/passive preflop (20/4/4). When it's been heads-up with him in position, he's bet about 90% of hands that I checked on the turn after betting the flop. I've recently been exploiting this tendency by check-raising more frequently, with mixed results on his part. PP NL 25 Full Ring Hero is CO with A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($36) Villain is Button ($30) 2 fish limp in EP/MP, I raise to $1.5, Villain calls $1.5, blinds fold, fish call Flop($6): 8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] checked to me, I make my standard ~2/3 pot contination and bet $4.5, Villain calls, fish fold Turn ($15): 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Hero??? Here are my thoughts, feel free to disagree: I think we can eliminate most draws because I hold the A of spades and he is tight enough to fold Kxs hands away preflop. The only logical hand that holds two spades is KQs. His VPIP is about 20%, and my guess is that he probably has a mid-low pair, like 7s, or two strong cards like AK or AQ. However, I think he gets a kick out of trying to outplay me, so his cold calling standards may have dropped against me specifically, making it more likely that he is actually on a pure bluff. Given all of this, is the correct line just to check/fold? |
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