river raise?

[Redd]

Looks like you're ahead of AQx3 and 88x6, and behind AAx6 (I don't think many other hands get there, even from an aggressive opponent? I'm not sure if any of these need discounting?). So we're ahead 9/15 = 60% of the time. We're calling if 3-bet, so we need to be ahead 66% of the time to value-raise.

So I call it.

[milesdyson]

3 combos AA.

[gharp]

[ QUOTE ]
and behind AAx6

[/ QUOTE ]
You're overcounting those, there's only 3.

Edit: Damn, I'm slow...

[Redd]

Right, we're ahead of 88x3 too. So we're ahead of that range exactly enough for a 0EV raise. If we can include a discounted AK or A8 then it'll push it into slight +EV.