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#1
11-28-2005, 08:55 PM
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Mega Beat
Happened to my buddy while I was helping him finish the stars 500.
1st - 192k 2nd - 101k 6 left, he loses a 600k pot w/ 77-J7. 5 left, he lose 1.1 million chips w/ KK against Q5d for the chip lead. Flop J-10-4. Ouch. 
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#2
11-28-2005, 08:56 PM
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Re: Mega Beat
[ QUOTE ]
Happened to my buddy while I was helping him finish the stars 500. 1st - 192k 2nd - 10 6 left, he loses a 600k pot w/ 77-J7. 5 left, he lose 1.1 million chips w/ KK against Q5d for the chip lead. Flop J-10-4. Ouch. [/ QUOTE ] bump
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#3
11-28-2005, 08:58 PM
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Re: Mega Beat
Clearly the anguish over this beat has left J_V unable to make a post that makes any damn sense.
If this was yesterday- 2p2er Vanveen lost with AJ vs 66 on a JJxx6 board. [censored] Riverstars.
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#4
11-28-2005, 09:02 PM
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Re: Mega Beat
I ran some numbers on this one:
H: 40 (a-7n) 35%-60% : equity: 50% (n-1_) V: 50 (a-7n) 10%-20% : equity: ~30% (n-1_) M: 30-10 (a-7n) 0%-5% : equity: ~.5% (n-1_) H(V) / M = n3 so we are at ~50% for +EV but look at this: HR1 = M(V) - H...so 4/5 of M never would have raised! -ZEN
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