JJ river decision

[setjes]

Villain is something like 55/22/2.5 over about 40 hands
The hands I've played with him comfirm these numbers: overaggro, bets when checked to, slowplaying big hands, etc.

Party Poker 5.00/10.00 Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(6 handed)</font> link

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, CO folds, Button folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, BB folds, UTG calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP caps</font>, Hero calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (13.00 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, UTG folds, MP calls.

Turn: (8.50 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP calls.

River: (10.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, Hero...

Final Pot: 11.50 BB.

[admiralfluff]

you should probably bet/fold this river. If he has 88-TT, he will often take a free SD, and only bet with better hands. He will have TT-88 more than 9% of the time, so you don't want to check fold.

[DaSpade]

Against this type of opponent, I like check/calling the river. He is not folding any hand with a K/Q/A and if he has TT-88 you do not want to be bluff raised. Based on your read that he would bet when checked to, you would gain a bet when ahead anyways by check/calling. Is he capable of folding?

[admiralfluff]

opponent is overagg, not crazy. A river bluff raise is highly inlikely. Villain is usually ahead here, and when he is behind he is rarely folding the river.

[spydog]

If he bets when checked to then I would start check-calling on the turn. I'm showing this down as cheaply as possible.

[setjes]

I made a superweak fold on the river. I thought I might idd be good here around 10% of the time, but my always at difficult decisions present weak side got the upper hand [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]. I was naïve enough to think the A would have scared him from betting. He said he had 88 so I (probably) folded the best hand. Ur right with stating that I should have c/c'd the turn against this opponent