3/6 JJ Hand

Kevin · #1 11-27-2004, 04:42 AM

Villian is 64% VPIP, 6% PFR, his has a post flop aggression of 2.54.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
5 folds, CO calls, Hero raises, 1 fold, BB calls, CO calls.

Flop: (6.33 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets, BB calls, CO calls.

Turn: (4.66 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets, BB calls, CO calls.

River: (7.66 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, CO bets, Hero?

Fear Broadway? Raise? If 3 bet, Call?

Thanks,
Kevin

slavic · #2 11-27-2004, 04:53 AM

raise the river. If he sees 60% of hands and his aggression is that high, he would have bet an OESD, and would have raised preflop with AQ. At present I have him on KT or even something like KQ.

KePoZ · #3 11-27-2004, 04:53 AM

i wouldn't raise it, just call..

slavic · #4 11-27-2004, 04:55 AM

In fact I think a bare King is more likely given the bet out. Two pair or a straight likes to check raise, unless you have checked behind on several rivers.

johnnybeef · #5 11-27-2004, 05:00 AM

i call as AQ of clubs seems like a reasonable hand to be out against

johnnybeef · #6 11-27-2004, 05:04 AM

my bad, i didnt see that he was that aggro, i reraise on the river as the only hand that can beat you would be aq, and the times that he would be bluffing after missing a flush draw and or betting a lesser hand for value outnumber the amount of times a loose aggressive player would not raise aq preflop.

Jules22 · #7 11-27-2004, 07:15 AM

get some bets in that pot, you're ahead way more in this spot than you'll ever be behind.

emil3000 · #8 11-27-2004, 09:44 AM

Yeah. Q9 is way more likely than AQ, but even that is unlikely, seems as if this guy would be more aggressive with his draws. Raise it, and cry when you get reraised.

adamstewart · #9 11-27-2004, 09:59 AM

Raise the river!

Cap if 3-bet.

Am I the only one who's not playing scared here?

The guy has likely caught two pair, or even a simple pair of kings.

Adam

flawless_victory · #10 11-27-2004, 11:00 AM

hi kevin... i just read your other post about your current bad streak in the party games. this post certainly demonstrates what might be a problem for you. this river is an eeeeeasy raise. not close. if he 3 bets, its player dependent... id probably just call... i dont know anything about about pt, but if hes weak enough to openlimp in the CO, i wouldnt count on him betting an oesd. calling the first river bet is ultra-turbo-weak.