#1
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Newbie Math Model Question
Do I have this correct Mathematically?
Barring - Reads’ of the other players - Deceptive play - Position at the table IS this mathematical model Correct? CASE 1 IF Pot Odds minus Draw odds > 0 OR High Hand Odds > 50% THEN You continue (Call, Bet or Raise.) ELSE Check/Fold ENDIF CASE 2 IF High hand Odds > 50% THEN I Raise/Bet ELSE CALL ENDIF |
#2
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Re: Newbie Math Model Question
No, that's wrong by a lot, even though you have thrown out a lot of important complexities of poker.
Read Theory of Poker to correct some of the misunderstandings you may have, e.g., that you should bet or raise if you think you are the favorite. In stud, if you have quads showing, then in theory you should not bet on the river, even if you feel you will win 99% of the time. |
#3
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Re: Newbie Math Model Question
When you start your post by saying "barring x y and z:, you are basically coming up with a "formula" that you can never really apply. You might as well let a bot play for you. In addition betting with the nut hand all the time is a sure way to minimize your profit. Example - you hold AK and the flop comes A, A, K. If you bet this hand you will chase away anyone on a flush draw, with an ace and a lower kicker, with pocket kings etc. Its basically a really bad idea.
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