Value betting vs loose passives

[mikewvp]

Basically this player is extremely loose and passive. He sees 50% of the flops, he takes 60% of those to the showdown, and he only wins 40% of those showdowns. So I figure I would value bet as low as nine high. In this instance it was closer than I thought, I put him on exactly 3h 8d. Turns out I only had him narrowly beaten, comments?


Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter

Preflop: Hero is CO with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls.

Flop: (4.40 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

Turn: (3.20 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

River: (5.20 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

Final Pot: 7.20 BB

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
BB has Jc 9c (three of a kind, sevens).
Hero has Td Jd (three of a kind, sevens).
Outcome: Hero wins 7.20 BB. </font>

[wheelz]

Wow.

[mperich]

I can't tell if youre being serious or not. Anyways even if his WTSD and vpip were both 100% you dont have a profitable value bet here, as you cant beat a random hand.

-Mike

[adamstewart]

Wow, amazing read man!

Is this CinnamonWind?



Adam