What are my chances in Stars 500k ? :)

[punter11235]

I thought about this question.
I am winning 5/10NL player. I have little experience in tourneys (althoughh I made a few ft's in my life). So its reasonable that I am way better than casual tourney fish but way worse than any competent tourney player. What do you think are my chances to win this thing ? More specifically. If N is number of ppl in, my chances are above or below 1/N ? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Exitonly]

better than 1/N

[billyjex]

You'd probably have a positive ROI over a large sample, but this tourney is so ginourmous and it is a crapshoot towards the end you could probably go a lifetime without a final table.

[A_Junglen]

If you can count to 10 your chances are better than 1/N