TD 2-7: an unusual blind defense

[MarkGritter]

I know three things about Villian:

1) He's agggressive and willing to try stealing from the button.
2) He's a short stack. He bought in for only about 12BB and most of it is gone now. He hardly ever rebuys.
3) He's played with me before and may know that I occasionally snow.

My play here is either to raise and stand pat, or fold. My draw is crap. As a made hand, though, it will stand up 55% of the time vs 723xx and 65% vs. 72xxx. So I decided to stand pat and see what happened. After the first round he only has enough to put in one bet per street, so I don't need to fear a raise.

The river bet is one I'd ordinarily never make with this hand. But Villian has only 1 BB left, so I thought he would have a much wider calling standard here due to 'last hand' psychology.

Thoughts?

----------------------------------------------------------------

$1/$2 Triple Draw 2-7 at UltimateBet

Hero is at seat 0 with $112.25.
A is at seat 3 with $91.
Villian is at seat 4 with $8.
B is at seat 5 with $95.75.
The button is at seat 4.

B posts the small blind of $.50.
Hero posts the big blind of $1.

Hero: 6c 8h 4s 9h 7d

First Round:

A folds. Villian raises to $2. B
folds. Hero re-raises to $3. Villian calls.

Hero stands pat. Villian takes 3 cards.

Hero: 6c 8h 4s 9h 7d

Second Round:

Hero bets $1. Villian calls.

Hero stands pat. Villian takes 1 card.

Hero: 6c 8h 4s 9h 7d
Villian: -- -- -- -- --

Third Round:

Hero bets $2. Villian calls.

Hero stands pat. Villian takes 1 card.

Hero: 6c 8h 4s 9h 7d
Villian: -- -- -- -- --

Final Round:

Hero bets $2. Villian goes all-in for $2.



Showdown:

Hero shows 9h 8h 7d 6c 4s.
Hero has 9 8 7 6 4.
Villian shows Kc 7h 5c 3c 2c.
Villian has K 7 5 3 2.


Hand #8371356-1486 Summary:

$.75 is raked from a pot of $16.50.
Hero wins $15.75 with 9 8 7 6 4.
----------------------------------------------------------------