Martingale for SNGs

I am referring to heads up SNS. In a heads up SNG, 66% in the money equals 20% ROI.

But my question is regards to using the martingale for SNGs. I wonder how big or small the fluctuations would be relative to Kelly and Half Kelly. Assume positive EV not negative EV (like roulette).

[zipppy]

This would never work, because someone that has +ev at $109+ buyins is not going to want to play at the $5+1s to win some money playing a martingale system in SNGs.

Also, if someone wants to start at the 5s to win money using a martingale system, I'm willing to guess they don't have +ev at bigger buyin SNGs, or the bankroll for them.

so basically the only ones this might work for wouldn't want to use it.

>>>ZIP

[pergesu]

What he's saying is that if you're a 66% ITMer at the $5s then there's a really good chance you're not a 66% ITMer at the 100s.

okay [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

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This would never work, because someone that has +ev at $109+ buyins is not going to want to play at the $5+1s to win some money playing a martingale system in SNGs.

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What if he did anyway? What would be the consequences fluctuationwise and EV wise?