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Old 08-24-2005, 09:45 AM
45Player 45Player is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 58
Default Re: Good Line?

I don’t think your play was too good here.

You are trying to represents Aces on the turn. However from your opponents’ point of view they would assume that you would bet Aces on the flop given that the board is relatively safe, and that everybody checked to you. So, your turn raise is a bit suspicious.
They won’t necessarily give you credit for having Aces.

If the SB is drawing to a straight or flush, then he missed it and your river bet is pointless as he won’t call.
If he is not drawing to a straight or flush, then his turn call indicates at least Aces up.
There are only 2 Aces left and he has to have a major doubt that you have them, so he
is very likely to call your river bet.
Also, he is getting over 3/1 which is another strong incentive to calling.

A similar argument applies to the CO. However there is an additional issue here.
The fact that he bet $3 on the turn into a $20 dollar pot indicates that he’s not too sure of this game, so he probably is not thinking too much about your suspicious raise. He’s just looking at his own hand, and any bluff on your part (no matter how fancy) was probably doomed anyway !
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