Jason_T nit counting exercice, redux

scrub · #1 08-25-2005, 03:44 PM

Dave raises UTG. Some people coldcall. Jason calls in some blind.

The flop is A83r. Jason checks. Dave bets. Some people call. Jason raises. Dave calls.

The turn is a brick 6. Jason bets. Dave raises. People fold. Jason 3-bets. Dave 4-bets. Jason 5-bets.

How many outs does Dave have with his set of sixes?

scrub

MaxPower · #2 08-25-2005, 04:09 PM

Your memory for the details of the hand is incredible [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

SmileyEH · #3 08-25-2005, 04:16 PM

Against Jason he can probably just fold.

-SmileyEH

shant · #4 08-25-2005, 04:18 PM

1.25 outs

scrub · #5 08-25-2005, 04:18 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Your memory for the details of the hand is incredible [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I didn't really pay attention until the turn got 5 bet and Jason whined about the hand for the next 3 hours.

There was some argument about how many people were between them and how likely they would have been to call 2 cold on the turn with whatever crap they had, so I didn't want to be definitive on it.

scrub

meep_42 · #6 08-25-2005, 04:22 PM

Nits whine, LAGs go home a f*** the prom queen?

-d

DMBFan23 · #7 08-25-2005, 04:33 PM

is there any way jason DOESNT have 88 or 33 here? does he go 5 bets with A8s? he 3 bets pf with AA right? anyways, assuming 88/33 dave could be ahead, or have one out.

EDIT: I agree with Rob that 33 doesn't always get 5 bet on the turn

Entity · #8 08-25-2005, 04:43 PM

[ QUOTE ]
is there any way jason DOESNT have 88 or 33 here? does he go 5 bets with A8s? he 3 bets pf with AA right? anyways, assuming 88/33 dave could be ahead, or have one out.

EDIT: I agree with Rob that 33 doesn't always get 5 bet on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]

Jason isn't as nitty as you might think. It's possible but unlikely -- especially against Dave -- that he 5-bets a worse hand here. However, I am reasonably confident, despite his nittiness, that he can fold to a 6-bet. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Rob

Entity · #9 08-25-2005, 04:59 PM

Dave has to call down here.

MaxPower · #10 08-25-2005, 05:13 PM

So dave caught a 1-outer? Good for him. Jason will remember the hand for the rest of his life. I caught a one-outer against some Foxwoods regular and he reminds me of it every time I go up there.