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  #1  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:08 PM
DavidC DavidC is offline
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Location: Ontario, Canada
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Default How common is a -140bb swing?

I've had one recently, I've had many in the past, but I'd like to know how often I can expect swings of this magnitude or worse.

Obviously it depends on my winrate (which I don't precisely know) and SD/hr (which I don't precisely know), but that's about all I know. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Anyone with any info on this is appreciated.

--Dave.
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  #2  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:10 PM
shant shant is offline
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Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

I haven't been playing poker for more than a year, and I've had at least 2 200BB slides. I've also had a couple more 100BB slides. Poker is fun.
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  #3  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:11 PM
SmileyEH SmileyEH is offline
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Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

Not that often. Over 100k hands at 2/4 I've had several 100BB downswing, maybe 2 150BB downswings, and one 200BB downswing. So for me, I'd expect a 140BB downswing every 30k hands or so - once a month or so.

-SmileyEH
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  #4  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:12 PM
Entity Entity is offline
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Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

I had a 110BB downswing yesterday and a 110.5 upswing shortly thereafter. I'm sure that a 150BB downswing isn't that uncommon. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #5  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:15 PM
DavidC DavidC is offline
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Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

[ QUOTE ]
I had a 110BB downswing yesterday and a 110.5 upswing shortly thereafter. I'm sure that a 150BB downswing isn't that uncommon. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Were you playing 6-max again?

I think this swing was magnified by atypically poor play during the slide, but thank you to everyone for your info.

--Dave.

And yes, I've experienced a similar swing over 2k hands (-200 to -80 in the 2k, to +100 by 5k hands)... I know it happens, but I'm curious about how often. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Edit: and that swing was at full ring
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  #6  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:17 PM
Entity Entity is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: joining the U.S.S smallstakes
Posts: 3,786
Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I had a 110BB downswing yesterday and a 110.5 upswing shortly thereafter. I'm sure that a 150BB downswing isn't that uncommon. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Were you playing 6-max again?

I think this swing was magnified by atypically poor play during the slide, but thank you to everyone for your info.

--Dave.

And yes, I've experienced a similar swing over 2k hands (-200 to -80 in the 2k, to +100 by 5k hands)... I know it happens, but I'm curious about how often. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, it was 6max.

Rob
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  #7  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:18 PM
shant shant is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Los Angeles
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Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

[ QUOTE ]
I had a 110BB downswing yesterday and a 110.5 upswing shortly thereafter. I'm sure that a 150BB downswing isn't that uncommon. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]
Aww, I miss 6-max.
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  #8  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:18 PM
kurosh kurosh is offline
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Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

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  #9  
Old 07-13-2005, 02:29 PM
dabluebery dabluebery is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 13
Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

Entity,

As usual, your assistance is very valuable. I'm on about a 75 bet downswing in 6max, and I feel so dirty and ashamed. I feel much better now.

Rob
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  #10  
Old 07-13-2005, 07:32 PM
Ryan11 Ryan11 is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Ontario
Posts: 181
Default Re: How common is a -140bb swing?

last month playing 6 max I had like 5 days in a row do this

Day 1: 72 BB downswing
Day 2: 66 BB upswing
Day 3: 107 BB downswing
Day 4: 40 BB upswing
Day 5: 118 BB upswing

weird week that's forsure
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