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#1
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Re: ($60) 5-handed, shopping for some blinds w/KQo
I could try with 550 but I think that the raising to 550 wouldn't be as +$EV as to 500, because you would have less when you fold to a push, but the fold at the end would still be a fold.
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#2
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Re: ($60) 5-handed, shopping for some blinds w/KQo
[ QUOTE ]
Ok let us assume that SB will only re-raise all-in with TT+, AK+ (probably too tight - but it'll do for a starting point) and that BB will do so with 88+, AQ+. Now we hold KQo so 88,99,TT,JJ,AA 6 ways QQ 3 ways KK 3 ways AK 4*3 ways = 12 ways AQ 4*3 ways = 12 ways So R 500, Rr/F SB 0.2111 ( (24 + 12) / 1225 ) = 0.029% R 500, Rr/F BB 0.2034 ( (36 + 24) / 1225 ) = 0.049 * (1 - 0.029) = 0.04754% R 500, Both F 0.2541 ( (1-0.029) * (1-0.04754) of time ) = 0.924469% Thus if we always fold to a push from either (SB is a no brainer) then (0.2541 * 0.924469) + (0.2034 * 0.04754) + (0.2111 * 0.029) = 0.2349 + 0.00967 + 0.00620 = 0.2508 .. which is obviously a lot more than 0.2316. So the raise, we can say for certain, is correct. Now if he really is re-raising with 88+,AQ+ we should obviously fold KQo here. Our equity is only 0.311366 against this range.. Fold 0.2034 Call/Win 0.3296 Call/Lose 0.1193 (0.3296 * 0.311366) + (0.1193 * 0.688634) = 0.1026262336 + 0.0821540362 = 0.1847802698 which is way less than 0.2034, definite fold. All interesting stuff.. [/ QUOTE ] Will you marry me? Nh! |
#3
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Re: ($60) 5-handed, shopping for some blinds w/KQo
Very nice work.
I do feel the ranges are too tight though, a raise to 500 from the button is not very scary, I imagine the BB will play hands as weak as 55, 76s, A8 and KJ. He probably won't push all these hands though, but maybe something like 66+, KQ, A9+ ? |
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