Question About Trends

[Daniel Durant]

I was wondering what the opinions out there are about trends. I see all this statistical data out there of how State U. is 9-1 against the spread when coming off a road loss, or that so-and-so is 1-4 ATS in week 6. How much should you pay attention to this data? Part of me thinks that it is the same thing as flipping a coin, or betting red or black in roulette. If red hits 7 of the past 8 times it doesn't make it more likely it will hit on the 9th try. On the other hand I can see how there is something to it. Maybe one coach or team gets his team so pumped up on Monday Night that they have a natural let down the following Sunday and therefore have a bad record ATS on those Sundays. Thoughts on this would be appreciated.