Flopped set, boat on river, how much do you bet?

#1 11-23-2005, 11:28 PM

Very first hand of 20+2 PP MTT

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t15 (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

UTG (t1000)
UTG+1 (t1000)
UTG+2 (t1000)
MP1 (t1000)
MP2 (t1000)
MP3 (t1000)
CO (t1000)
Hero (t1000)
SB (t1000)
BB (t1000)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls t15, UTG+1 calls t15, 3 folds, MP3 calls t15, 1 fold, Hero calls t15, 1 fold, BB checks.

Flop: (t82.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, MP3 bets t75, Hero calls t75, BB folds, UTG folds, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: (t232.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP3 bets t55, Hero raises to t175, MP3 calls t120.

River: (t582.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero ?

How much do you bet on this river? Also, lets say you know he has KQ, how much do you bet now?

JeanieJ · #2 11-24-2005, 09:37 AM

Raise more on the turn and get your chips in on the river.

grandgnu · #3 11-24-2005, 12:08 PM

Hmmmm......he's probably not figuring you for a hand like A/K, since you would have raised.

If Villian is on K/Q, and he figures you for a King as well, then he is likely ahead and will pay you off and might try to "value-bet" against you as well.

So, you're in the quandry of what bet can you make that he'll call. I suppose if he felt good enough about his hand, he would have bet himself.

But, perhaps he's figuring you'll do the betting for him and he's hoping to check-raise (although I suspect he's just in check-call mode)

If you were trying to induce a check-raise, you might bet weak, make it look like an attempt to steal the pot (betting 100-175).

But, I doubt he's check-raising here. So, I would bet somewhere in the 250-350 range and hope to extract some more chips.