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#1
12-19-2005, 04:05 AM
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Re: .5/1 AK mega draw
[ QUOTE ]
Busted draws will usually check behind at these stakes against players who fired twice. [/ QUOTE ] I agree, but busted draws who happen to pair will likely fold to a bet (and those who don't pair will fold as well). This is read dependent though, river betting into a call station here is a bad idea, as he'll likely call with a small pair, but a decent player will often fold a hand that would beat an unimproved AK. 
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#2
12-19-2005, 06:17 AM
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Re: .5/1 AK mega draw
The non-clubs on the board are 5, 3, and 2. The A, K, and Q of clubs are all accounted for. Unless he is playing any two suited, he is going to have a pair with a flush draw just about never. Stealing a $26 pot successfully 5% of the time and giving away another $15 95% of the time is ridiculously -EV.
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